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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-05-13T16:09:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-05-13T16:09Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14752/-1
CME Note: Signature is very weak and difficult to discern exact time. From Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla: Around ~21 hrs on the May 16, there is a monotonic change in the magnetic field direction that can be associated with a flux rope signature.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-05-16T16:10Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-05-17T02:16Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 66.6667%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.625
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -49516.77 hour(s)
Difference: -10.10 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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